2045 Smartphone Explosion
If you are studying the future, regarding our speed of progress or where we are heading to, you will value this image demonstrating mobile phone evolution. The mobile phone price comparison I’ve created is valuable to illustrate our approach to Singularity (Post-Scarcity). Technology continually allows us to do more for less, which means technology won’t be restricted by prices in the future. Technology will explode at zero-cost. A limitless explosion of free intelligence (smart tech) will occur.
In year 2014 mobile phones often included a camera, video recorder, and calculator. In year 2045 your mobile phone (or wearables, ingestibles etc) will include a 3D-printer (nano-assemblers), super-intelligence, the capability for extrasolar travel, an entire hospital within it, and a library containing the entirety of human knowledge.
Mobile phones in 1983 were large bricks costing $3,500 – £3,900, but they could only make calls. In year 2014 a slimline mobile phone could be bought for only $6, and it usually included a radio, games, calculator, and sometimes a camera too! Prepare for the Singularity! Can you imagine the world in 2045?
Year 2014 is a good point in time to perform this price comparison. It is 31 years since 1983, the point when mobile phones first became publicly available. 2014 is also 31 years before year 2045 (a date commonly associated with the Singularity). A lot can change in 31 years, especially when you realize the rate of progress is a lot faster than it was in 1983. We have a clear example of 31 years of progress.
What will the next 31 years produce?
The 1983 price of $3,900 was sourced from CNN: http://edition.cnn.com/2010/
TECH/mobile/07/09/cooper.cell. phone.inventor/ (http://archive.is/ybiF8). The price of $3,500 was sourced from the BBC: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/ technology-22013228 (http://archive.is/wPUA5).The UK price of £5 was sourced from the following links (original links may change prices or die; note the archived page links for the correct 2014 prices): http://www.argos.co.uk/static/ Product/partNumber/5187760.htm (http://archive.is/KRqBx), or http://direct.asda.com/ Alcatel-10-10-Mobile-Phone— T-Mobile/008738220,default,pd. html (http://archive.is/3dD8A).The US price of $6 was sourced from the following link (original link may change price or die; note the archived page link for the correct 2014 price): http://www.walmart.com/ip/ payLo-Kyocera-Kona-Prepaid- Cell-Phone/26923422 (http://archive.is/fXgcw).
See also http://www.maclife.com/article/gallery/visual_history_cell_phone and http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/special/business/a-gadgets-life/